When is our Prime Minister and her coterie of vassal state status seekers get the message and ditch the Withdrawal Agreement surrender treaty?
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The Tories are about to wiped off of the European Union electoral map, the day of reckoning for Theresa May's premiership is fast approaching and they are haemorrhaging support by the hour.
So why do they insist on reinforcing failure with this perpetual pushing of Theresa May's vassal state Brexit treaty?
Sky News is reporting that the PM is "…preparing a final Brexit pitch as she braces herself for disastrous results at the European elections".
It's her deal that got her in this mess in the first place and the reason why she is about to see just about a zero return of Tory MEPs to the EU Parliament.
So in the last few days before the elections on Thursday she ditches the shovels and brings in the mechanical diggers to enlarge the already huge hole she is standing in.
How on earth can that be sensible? Who on earth is advising her and what in heaven's name is driving her to do this?
Well, here's one. The Health Secretary, Matt Hancock, is doing the rounds and telling everyone that the only way to deliver Brexit is to vote for Theresa May's deal.
He's saying that Members of Parliament 'have a duty' to vote her Withdrawal Agreement treaty through.
He told BBC1 Breakfast:
"It ultimately will come down to this when MPs are voting: do you want to deliver on the referendum result? Not, is this your perfect resolution to Brexit and exactly what you want. But this is the piece of legislation that would deliver on the referendum."
If you want to deliver on the referendum, which the majority of those in parliament across both houses do not, then you will not vote for a treaty that makes the UK into a colony of the EU – unless you are so wedded to the EU project that you don't care. And with some of our elected representatives and unelected peers I would say they definitely do not care!
In fact, I get the distinct impression that some are even hankering after the dismantling of the UK and handing it over piece by piece to the EU.
Now, as I've said before, the way that ministers are trying to get Theresa May's treaty through is by bringing forward the Withdrawal Agreement and Implementation Bill, or WAB.
This way, they don't run the risk of having the Speaker, John Bercow, ruling that her treaty cannot be put before the house for a fourth time – especially if it is fundamentally the same as the last three times if was heavily rejected.
But if they can somehow get the WAB through, then they can argue that changes things – so her treaty can be put before the house again.
And they do have to put the actual Withdrawal Agreement and the Political Declaration before the house because it is a legal requirement for MPs to vote them through before the treaty can be ratified.
Section 13 of the Withdrawal Act passed last year says the treaty can only be ratified if it has been noted by the house of Lords, which it has, and if:
"…the negotiated withdrawal agreement and the framework for the future relationship have been approved by a resolution of the House of Commons on a motion moved by a Minister of the Crown."
And finally on this the Withdrawal Act says that this WAB that the ministers are trying to push through has also to be enacted before ratification can take place.
But it's hard to see how they can push the WAB through in a form that would support Theresa May's Withdrawal Agreement and Political Declaration, if they haven't got MPs to agree to them first.
Because the WAB will come under attack from all quarters with all manner of hostile amendments – especially for a second referendum to be included in it.
Is she hoping that it will somehow get through all stages of legislation unscathed because all the proposed amendments will get voted down by all the differing factions – just like all the motions during the indicative vote processes were voted down?
Now that's a risky strategy.
At the end of the day though I think this move is destined for failure.
All I can see is a thumping loss for the Tory government in the EU elections, followed by the humiliation of having the PM's treaty proposal being voted down by another huge majority, for the final time – and her on the way out.
Outside of the Theresa May bunker, the reality is that a new Tory leader will emerge.
But the problem for the Tories is that they need a real big beast that can quickly put the party back together again, while sorting out the Brexit question. This is now a mammoth task and you have to wonder who within the Tory MP ranks is capable of doing this and, more importantly, who is prepared to step up to the mark to do it? After all, who would really want that job right now – other than a fool or a narcissist, maybe?
Sources:
http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2018/16/section/13/enacted
