Dave Hitchborne : Cathedral Square, Peterborough (CC BY-SA 2.0)

Dave Hitchborne: Cathedral Square, Peterborough (CC BY-SA 2.0)

Now that the dust has settled over the European Elections, all eyes are turning to the Peterborough by-election. Will we witness another win for The Brexit Party?

PLEASE WATCH THE VIDEO BELOW:

The voters of Peterborough face a Westminster by-election next Thursday the 6th of June after the previous encumbant, Fiona Onasanya, was recalled over a criminal offence.

So, with a week to go, the people of Peterborough can expect wall to wall campaigning and letterboxes stuffed with political literature from the 15, yes 15, candidates standing in this election.

Coming so soon after the EU elections and the meteoric rise of Nigel Farage and The Brexit Party, one can understand the expectation that they will do quite well.

Especially in the Cambridgeshire city that voted to leave the European Union by a margin of 60.9% to 39.1%.

And the bookies also have The Brexit Party candidate, local businessman Mike Greene, as the favourite to win.

According to the Guardian the two main parties fear that The Brexit Party will be able to ride that wave of support and they are therefore planning to put major figures of their own into the constituency to persuade voters to return to the two party state system.

Labour have both Jeremy Corbyn and Gordon Brown in the diary to visit and the Tories say that 'several cabinet ministers' will be turning up.

The Peterborough Telegraph has published a 120 word statement from each candidate outlining their thoughts and priorities. I've left a link to the article in the descriptions box below this video.

In the 2015 general election Stewart Jackson, who had been the MP there since 2005, won the seat for the Tories again with 18,684 votes, a majority of 1,925 over Labour and a turnout of 64.9%. Mary Herdman came third for UKIP that year on 7,485 votes.

But this was reversed by Fiona Onasanya standing for the Labour Party in the 2017 snap general election, where she won with 22,950 votes, a majority of 607 over Stewart Jackson with a turnout of 67.5%. Beki Sellick came third for the Lib Dems with just 1,597 votes.

Apart from Mike Greene for the Brexit Party, the Labour Party candidate is Lisa Forbes and the Tories are running with Paul Bristow.

The Lib Dem candidate is Beki Sellick, UKIP has former councillor John Whitby and Joseph Wells is standing for the Green Party.

There are many from smaller parties, including outgoing MEP Patrick O'Flynn for the SDP and even Alan "Howling Laud" Hope for the Official Monster Raving Loony Party.

But will any of these be able to stop The Brexit party juggernaut?

This will be an interesting one to watch. However, The Brexit Party is managing expectations, with a close aide to Nigel Farage quoted in the Guardian as saying:

"We do not have the data that you need to get your vote out, but we'll give it a shot."

All I can say is that traditionally all you need to do as a candidate is to be wearing the right coloured rosette on the day, be it red or blue. After all, it's worked for decades in most constituencies in our two party state hasn't it …. well, up until now that is.

Anyway, who would you put your money on this time?

Sources:

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/may/29/peterborough-byelection-labour-and-tories-fear-brexit-party-surge?CMP=share_btn_tw

https://www.peterboroughtoday.co.uk/news/politics/peterborough-by-election-candidates-give-their-three-key-priorities-if-elected-1-8940808

https://election.news.sky.com/referendum/peterborough-2938

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peterborough_(UK_Parliament_constituency)

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