Far from food prices rocketing up in a no-deal Brexit scenario, they would fall.


According to the Remain scaremongers food prices in the UK would rocket after a no-deal Brexit and the poor people will starve.

And all this is based on what Martin Howe QC, the chairman of Lawyers for Britain, calls 'the tariff delusion'.

Writing on the Lawyers for Britain website he says:

"One of the most ridiculous and unjustified of these absurd scare stories is that it will lead to higher prices, and even shortages, of foods and medicines. In the Sunday Times on 12 August 2018, under the headline “No deal will hike food bills by 12%”, it was reported that ‘senior executives from the big four supermarkets’ had claimed that a ‘no deal’ Brexit ‘would force up the price of the average weekly food basket by as much as 12%'."

Martin Howe says that this is based on the misconception that the UK will definitely be imposing current tariff rates on imports from the EU, something he calls 'the tariff delusion'.

And he goes on to say that the UK can set its own tariffs after Brexit, down to zero if it so wishes.

He also explains why the EU Common External Tariff system is so bad for the UK because they were set before the UK joined the EEC to protect the producer interests of "French farmers, German car makers, and Italian clothing and footwear manufacturers".

A prime example is that of oranges.

The EU tariff on oranges was increased to 16% two years ago. This means that all oranges imported from outside the EU have a 16% tariff slapped on them so that Spanish and other EU orange growers can add up to 16% to the world price for their own oranges and sell them into the UK.

The UK has no orange production to protect, so a zero tariff here would lower prices for oranges from outside the EU instantly by 16% – and would probably cause a drop in price of oranges from within the EU.

As Martin Howe points out, what the UK needs to do is apply zero tariffs where the UK has no significant production interest, it should also apply zero tariffs on components and intermediate goods such as car parts coming into the country and get rid of those low level tariffs that are less significant than currency fluctuations.

Martin Howe may call it a tariff delusion, but I believe it is being used by Remainers to scaremonger and purposely mislead people.

Moving on, the spotlight is now on the gearing up to 'continuous' talks between the UK Brexit Secretary, Dominic Raab and the EU Chief Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier.

But why? If I remember correctly the show was being run by that civil servant Oliver Robbins, who was paid a £20,000 bonus on top of his £165,000 salary last year, for his work as permanent secretary of the Department for Exiting the European Union. Remember him?

Here we are gearing up for what could be seen as the most important phase in the talks as we head towards Brexit Day and suddenly Dominic Raab is the main player, while the civil servant that BBC Newsnight profiled and some people call 'the real Brexit secretary' is nowhere in sight?

Is he beavering away in a darkened office over a Chequers Mark II to ambush the cabinet with?

Are we about to see more watering down of Brexit in secret while Raab is the front fall-guy?

Was the recent unilateral decision by the UK to give EU nationals another couple of years of free movement, one of his gems?

"He's one of the tallest men in the British establishment," said Newsnight, "with one of the lowest profiles. Yet he wields some of the greatest powers. He's never at the centre of attention, but he's always in the room at the prime minister's side."

So where is he now? It's just like when children go quiet in the other room isn't it – you know they're up to no good!

So, let's talk UK construction shall we?

Now that we've voted to leave and after hearing about all the dire threats to the economy that would bring, let's have a look at what the Office for National Statistics says about the construction industry in Great Britain over the last few years.

The latest report on this from the ONS analyses the whole 2017 calendar year and shows that construction has improved year on year since 2012.

Looking at the graph you can see that the vote to leave did not suddenly have a downward effect on new construction work.

New Construction work 07-17

Public sector new construction work remains relatively stable and the trend in private new construction works shows a steady upward trend since 2009.

Further, construction employment increased in 2017 by 3.8% compared to 2016 and has been steadily increasing since 2014 says the ONS.

And on average weekly earnings, construction ended the year as the second highest earning sector in Great Britain said the ONS.

So that's one part of the UK economy that was not hurt by the vote to leave in 2016!

And Remainers wonder why Leavers don't believe the latest set of apocalyptic Brexit warnings they tout on a daily basis.

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