Mike Paterson’s daily Forex brief

As traders await the next instalment of the Greek bailout implementation with today’s expected vote by parliament the main feature of these markets (apart from inertia) continues to be the weakening of the Japanese Yen following last week’s surprise BOJ easing measures.

USDJPY has now broken back up through big psychological and barrier-option resistance at 80.00 and this in turn has sent EURJPY through strong levels at 106.00, giving the Euro a good deal of support across the board.

This underlying trend may not be seeing EURUSD and EURGBP break up through 1.33300 and 0.8410 just yet but it does put a good floor under the Euro, along with reported promises of support from China, while the Greek bailout process continues to fray market nerves.

In general terms we’re seeing the ranges getting tighter and tighter but we shouldn’t expect to see this continue for long – it never does- and there’s still plenty of volumes being traded while traders await the next big move.

Forex Brief Wed

Forex Update

Stop Press : Minutes from this month’s BOE MPC meeting have just come out showing that the vote for £50 billion extra QE was 7-2 meaning another dissenting voice looking for £75 billion but 9-0 in agreement to keep interest rates unchanged. The additional vote for larger QE has given the Pound a kicking with GBPUSD falling rapidly to test support at 1.5700 and EURGBP finally breaking up through 0.8410 to so far hit highs of 0.8435 (GBP EUR down to 1.1861).Will we now see further momentum and GBP weakness? Watch this space!

Oh, and in the wake of the Shrimpers tripping up badly again last night I’ve got to take my sporting cheer by paying respect to England’s cricketers in their 4-0 ODI series win against Pakistan to restore at least a little pride after their equally comprehensive test series defeat. The joys and pains of following League 2 football and the England cricket team are ever entwined……..

Agree or disagree? Then please leave a comment in the box below or contact me by e-mail.

Mike ‘Oscar’ Paterson has been in the Forex trenches for nearly three decades working as a senior Spot trader in London at UBS, Chief Dealer FX at the State Bank of Victoria and in charge of Spot CHF at Credit Suisse with a daily turnover in excess of $1.5 billion. Mike now works as an independent consultant providing a fully bespoke service to the corporate and private sectors in physical FX delivery as well as guiding those who wish to improve their currency trading. Mike also presents seminars and workshops and writes for a number of publications.
To contact Mike please call +0044 (0) 1732 700383 or email mike.paterson@economicvoice.com
The views expressed above are those of the author and should not be taken as investment advice. MSP Foreign Exchange Services will have no liability for, or to, any persons executing trades based on the content above.

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