• Opinium Research’s latest poll shows a Labour lead amongst ethnic minority groups (55% intending to vote)
• British Asians most likely group to vote Conservative (40%), compared other groups (Black Britons, 22%)
• Brexit not the primary issue of concern among BME voters – only 27% see it as the most important factor in the election (compared to 48% of general UK adults)
The Labour party has a significant lead over its political rivals among ethnic minority voters, according to Opinium Research *. Opinium are one of the few polling organisations who have made a commitment to track the views of minorities in the run-up to June 8th.
Just over half (55%) of people from ethnic minorities are intending to vote Labour at the upcoming general election – with the party holding its own since the 2015 election where 57% of those who voted last time opted for Labour. Comparatively, the Conservative party who are polling at 47% nation-wide – will only capture 34% of the votes of ethnic minorities.
However, minority voters differ in their party support with British Asians the most likely group to vote Conservative (40%), whereas only 22% of Black Britons would vote for the party.
Although most BME voters are planning to vote for Labour, Theresa May still has a positive net approval rating of +13% amongst this group (41% approve of the way she is handling her job as prime minister vs. 28% that disapprove). However, BME voters have a positive opinion of Jeremy Corbyn, giving him a net approval rating of +11% (37% approve vs. 26% disapprove).
BMEs and Brexit
For most UK adults, Brexit remains one of the most important issues facing the country (48%). Brexit was comparatively less likely to resonate with ethnic minority voters (27%), who voted two-to-one in favour of Remain in the Referendum. The most important issue facing the country according to British minorities is health and the NHS (53%).
Labour is most trusted to lead on Brexit negotiations with the European Union with a third (32%) trusting them to lead this, compared to 25% who trust Conservatives most. By comparison, the general populace is much more likely to prefer a Conservative-led negotiation (38% Conservative vs. 15% Labour).
However, this doesn’t stop two in five (39%) ethnic minorities from approving of the way that Theresa May has handled the process of the UK exiting the European Union so far, while only 25% disapprove.
James Crouch, polling team at Opinium comments:
“The voting patterns of ethnic minority groups remain distinct and are reflective of a different experience of living in Britain. It’s important that we consider the voices of all the key groups in the run-up to the general election that will determine the outcome; as such, Opinium will be monitoring these views throughout the rest of the campaign.”
*Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 511 UK ethnic minorities aged 18+ from 2 to 7 May 2017.
** Opinium Research carried out a nationally representative online survey of 2,006 UK adults between 12 and 19 October 2016 boosted to include 616 ethnic minorities and 176 White non-British adults between 12th October to 26th October 2016. An additional nationally representative online survey was carried out between 6th January to 10th January 2017