You have to ask yourself how much longer the Tory party can keep it together don't you?

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Yesterday the Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab announced the publication of the first set of no-deal Brexit advice papers and attempted to lay some scaremongering claims to rest.

But just as the Brexit Secretary tries to play down the Brexit risks, the Chancellor of the Exchequer, Philip Hammond, comes out with a letter to fellow Tory MP Nicky Morgan, who is chairwoman of the Treasury Committee, saying that a no-deal Brexit will bring on 'large fiscal consequences'.

In his letter the Chancellor parrots January's government findings over the impact of Brexit on the economy following various scenarios and pointed out that the analysis estimated that government borrowing would be £80 billion higher by 2033-34 if we left the EU on WTO terms.

All those January statements have been called into doubt as they are based on questionable economic modelling. The same sort of modelling one supposes that told us we had to join the Euro or we'd become a third world country and maybe the same modelling that told Gordon Brown to sell off much of the nation's gold reserves at great loss all those years ago.

But it's of absolutely no surprise that an ardent Remainer like Hammond would come out with this just as his own government is trying to put the record straight on such things as medical supplies and sandwich fillings post-Brexit.

And Sky reports:

"The timing of the chancellor's letter will prompt suspicions among Tory Brexiteers, who already believe he is trying to keep the UK closely tied to the EU.

"Both Mr Hammond and Mrs Morgan supported Remain at the EU referendum."

What an understated word 'suspicions' is here!

But as Tory Brexiteer Jacob Rees-Mogg retorted in dismissing the contents of the letter:

"The treasury designed 'Project Fear' and loves its own work even though it has been entirely wrong so far."

He also said on Newsnight:

"I think a free trade deal can be achieved, but that leaving on WTO terms is not as absurdly frightening as the chancellor of the Exchequer thinks it may be.

"The Treasury's Brexit panic means you can no longer trust the Treasury's forecasts."

Another Tory MP Marcus Fysh, said that the Chancellor was:

"…determined to wheel them out again for yet another instalment of dodgy project fear."

While the Telegraph quoted a government source as saying:

"This was a deliberate intervention by Philip, he knew exactly what he was doing."

Yes, he knew he was giving Remainers the chance to talk about Brexit bazookas and throwing hand grenades into the no-deal Brexit debate, while further stirring the anti-Brexit propaganda pot.

So we now have May and Raab trying to sell the unsellable deal, Jacob Rees-Mogg and the Tory European Research Group publicly urging a WTO exit and the Chancellor, Philip Hammond, openly doing his best to scotch Brexit altogether. The Conservative Party has lost all semblance of unity and it cannot be long surely before it implodes altogether.

Now, in an indication of more slippage in the Brexit timetable, the Cabinet Office minister, David Lidington, has said that a move from an October to a November deadline would be manageable.

"His statement did not come as a surprise reported the Guardian – insiders have long expected the official timetable to slip – but it means that the EU and the UK government are now openly saying that a final withdrawal agreement will probably take longer than expected."

More ammunition one supposes for those that want to see the Article 50 negotiation phase extended.

And finally, a new Brexit alliance has been formed.

The Brexit Advance Coalition brings together some of the heavyweight Brexiteer groups.

Its signatories have committed to the formation of this national coalition that believes in the principles of sovereignty, freedom and democracy.

Founded on the 20th of August, it brings together:

  • The Bow Group
  • Get Britain Out
  • Parliament Street
  • Campaign for Conservative Democracy
  • British Friends of Trump
  • Friends of British Overseas Territories
  • The Bruges Group
  • Conservative Grassroots
  • The Freedom Association
  • Reignite

I have to wonder though, whether this will help the cause, or if it's another rearranging of some of the Tories on the Brexit playing field.

Call me old fashioned and blunt. But the only threat a Tory government ever fears, is that of losing the next election. Therefore, only groups that can be voted for instead of the Conservative Party will have any impact – and you know where I'm going with this one don't you?! The only credible threat to the Tories is, if they lose swathes of support to a resurgent UKIP. So the answer's obvious is it not?!

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