Remainers are getting together in a 'Unite to Remain' alliance and are set to field anti-Brexit candidates for any up-coming snap general election.

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A new alliance of pro-Remain MP candidates for a possible snap election is being formed as a result of the Lib Dem success in the Brecon and Radnorshire by-election, where the Greens and Plaid stepped aside to allow the single Lib Dem Remain candidate to win the seat.

When you look at the results of that by-election, it is quite evident to see that without a combination of the Greens and Plaid standing down and The Brexit Party splitting the Leave vote, then the Tories would in all probability have won.

And that appears to be the driver behind this latest strategy from the Remainer campaign.

According to Nick Cohen in the Spectator, an announcement is expected soon on the first thirty or so of those constituencies where this non-aggression electoral pact will be agreed by the Lib Dems, the Greens and Plaid.

A second tranche would then be announced later on this month including any independent candidates that wanted to get involved.

So it sounds like the idea is to hope that in a snap General Election, the Remainers will be united behind a series of pro-EU candidates, while the Brexiteers will be split between Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage.

But, and it's a huge but! There is a rather large buzzing bluebottle sat smack in the middle of the Remain ointment.

And that is, that the Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, has control over the electoral timetable.

Even if there is a vote of no confidence against him that he loses, in my non-legally qualified view, Boris can still go to the country instead of resigning and time the election for November – after the country has left the EU on a no deal Brexit basis.

As far as I can see, the only way for the Remainers to change this, is to force through a binding vote, probably by legislation, that forces the government to ask the EU Council for another Article 50 extension. Even then there are probably ways for the PM to come back with a rejection.

But if it did succeed, it would then make a post Hallowe'en general election into a Brexit election, not an un-winnable Rejoin the EU election.

For me, the Remainers will want a cast iron guarantee of an Article 50 extension before a general election is actually triggered, as without it they lose the whole thing game set and match.

So, if they do herd into Westminster on Tuesday the 3rd of September after their summer hols and the Labour Party leader, Jeremy Corbyn, tables a vote fo no confidence which Boris loses the following day, they only get 14 days to get that Article 50 extension. And in normal times that would be about eight actual sitting days.

And if they don't get that extension, they might, just days after voting for no confidence in the government, be forced to do a massive and humiliating u-turn and actually be forced to vote for confidence in Boris Johnson and his government, in order to stop a general election, so keeping the doors of Parliament open to carry on their Remain fight.

The Remainers are losing any grip that they had on the agenda and losing it fast. But they do run around in noisier but ever decreasing circles as they do it, don't they?

Sources:

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/unite-to-remain-candidates-1-6208750

https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/08/the-remain-alliance-that-could-spoil-boris-johnsons-party/

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