• Over half (52%) of voters across the UK think Scotland will vote to stay in the UK
• 61% of voters in England and Wales want Scotland to stay
• 46% think Scotland should lose the Pound Sterling if it leaves
• 44% believe that Scotland’s departure would have little effect on the UK’s own influence in the world according
As the debate on Scottish independence heats up north of the border, Opinium Research’s latest political poll has revealed that 61% of voters in England and Wales say they would prefer for Scotland to remain part of the UK with just 22% wanting Scots to vote for independence.Older people in particular are attached to the union, with research showing that 73% want Scotland to stay versus just 51% of 18-34 year olds.
Over half (52%) of voters across the UK as a whole think Scotland will vote to stay in the UK while just 29% think they will vote for independence.
How will it work?
One of the key topics up for debate is logistics – how would it work if Scotland were to split? Voters are divided on whether Scotland should be able to keep the Pound Sterling if it became independent (31% agree, 46% disagree). Unsurprisingly a strong majority (76%) think Scotland should have to pay its ‘fair share’ of UK's national debt while just 7% disagree. Conversely, people are split on North Sea Oil with just 29% thinking an independent Scotland should have the right to full ownership of it while 41% disagree.
If Scotland were to gain independence, the Scots might be wise to prepare for deterioration in levels of health care and transport available, as 65% of voters across the UK think Scotland would struggle to fund the standard of public services that it enjoys at the moment, with just 10% disagreeing.
Scotland’s role on the World stage
When it comes to Scotland’s role on the world stage, a huge 67% think Scotland should have to re-apply to join the EU rather than automatically remaining a member (12%). Most are agreement that Scotland would struggle to perform better economically outside the UK than within (48% vs 18%). Its departure however, would have little effect on the UK’s own influence in the world according to 44% (versus 25%).
Remaining a united kingdom
Finally, 68% think that England, Wales and Northern Ireland should still call themselves the "United Kingdom" even if Scotland leaves (9% disagree), which implies a sense of strong solidarity, perhaps amplified by the prospect of this split.
Adam Drummond Comments: The main message from England and Wales to Scotland appears to be “we want you to stay” but not at any price. Nearly half of British voters are opposed to the idea of Scotland keeping the Pound Sterling as its currency in the event of separation and almost as many oppose the idea of Scotland having full ownership of North Sea Oil. 76% think Scotland should have to pay its fair share of the UK’s debts, however respondents no doubt have differing views of what constitutes a “fair share”.