The Scottish Referendum could cost David Cameron his job as Tory leader, and also delay the General Election, believe bookmakers William Hill, who are now offering odds of 6/1 that Cameron will no longer be Tory leader when the Election takes place – and 6/1 that it will not take place at all until at least 2016.
'The full implications of a YES result for both David Cameron and the General Election have yet to reveal themselves, but we believe there is a realistic chance that it could well result in David Cameron's departure from the Conservative leadership, and a delay in the timing of the General Election' said Hill's spokesman Graham Sharpe.
Meanwhile, despite a boost for the YES campaign via recent opinion polls, William Hill still make a NO vote their odds-on favourite at 2/5, with YES offered at 7/4 (NOT 7/1).
'NO will cost us a seven figure payout, while YES would be a six figure winner for us' added Sharpe. One William Hill customer has £800,000 riding on a No vote, another has £200,000 on the same outcome, while the largest bet yet for Yes is £10,000 from an Irish client.
'This is by far the largest political betting event in bookmaking history – we couldn't have envisaged turning over in excess
of £2million when we opened the initial market on the outcome.'
Latest William Hill Scottish Referendum Odds:
Which currency will independent Scotland use?: 1/2 Sterling; 3/1 Euro; 5/1 Own new currency; 25/1 Any other
GENERAL ELECTION TO BE DELAYED/POSTPONED UNTIL AT LEAST 2016?……..6/1 Yes; 1/12 No
DAVID CAMERON to be Tory Leader when General Election takes place: 1/12 yes; 6/1 No
PERCENTAGE TURNOUT FOR REFERENDUM: 8/11 Under 80%; Evens 80% or over
ALEX SALMOND still First Minister when next Scottish Election takes place: 4/11 Yes; 2/1 No