In a shock YouGov poll of general election voting intentions, The Brexit Party now lies in second place behind the Lib Dems, but there's more to this story than meets the eye.
PLEASE WATCH THE VIDEO BELOW:
A YouGov poll conducted over the 28th and 29th May asking 1,763 people how they would vote in a general election, has the Lib Dems now in the lead with 24%, followed closely by The Brexit Party with 22% then the Tories and Labour neck and neck on 19%, followed by the Greens in fifth place with 8% and UKIP and Change UK on 1% apiece.
Now, I did say in the intro that there was more to this result than meets the eye. Well some people are claiming that respondents would have to choose 'other' as a choice before being given the chance to select The Brexit Party.
And if you look at the spreadsheet YouGov has published you can see that the Conservative Party, the Labour Party and the Lib Dems are all individually placed, with the SNP and Plaid Cymru on a joint ticket.
But UKIP, the Greens, The Brexit Party, Change UK and other are all under the heading "Other Parties Westminster Voting Intention" and the spreadsheet says that these would only have been shown to the poll respondent, if they chose 'some other party' first.
This led to The Brexit Party leader, Nigel Farage, to Tweet out:
"You Gov have released a poll showing the Lib Dems top in the country, with @brexitparty_uk second. They did not have the BP option on the list and we were hidden in ‘others’. Looks like an establishment attempt to suppress the truth. #FakePolling"
And one Twitter user who goes by the handle 'Another DevGuy' Tweeted:
"I am a member of YouGov. The voting intentions question did not show The Brexit Party in the list. You had to pick 'Other' first."
As a result, many Brexiteers are saying that, because The Brexit Party was not properly prompted, the poll was effectively manipulated and the results therefore misleading.
A couple of other points to note, is that Since April, the percentage of people thinking Theresa May would be the best Prime Minister has fallen from 30% to 23%, while Jeremy Corbyn has dropped from 19% to a lowly 15%. Those who are not sure on this question rose from 46% to 55%!
One assumes they only did that well because they were the only two names on the list!
Another question asked was:
In hindsight, do you think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the European Union?
The answer in April was 48% saying wrong and 41% saying right, a 7% gap in favour of Remain. But the latest poll shows the gap has narrowed to 5%, with only 46% now saying we were wrong to vote to leave, compared to 41% saying we were right.
But getting back to the original point, had The Brexit Party been named individually on the main list, maybe they would have got a higher vote share.
But one thing puzzles me, why not just name all the parties individually? Wouldn't that be far simpler and cut out all the errors?
Finally, it's a good job that our Brexit negotiators in the UK and EU don't face the same repercussion for failure as those in North Korea.
The Huffington Post says that according to a North Korean press report, North Korea executed its special envoy to the United States, as well as four foreign ministry officials, in March over February’s failed summit between Kim Jong Un and President Donald Trump.
Talk about the stakes being high!
Brexit leader @Nigel_Farage has hit out at @YouGov for #FakePolling after revelations that their latest poll – which put the Brexit Party on a whopping 22% – didn't even give the party as one of the main options to be selected. Shocking!
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— Leave.EU (@LeaveEUOfficial) May 31, 2019
You Gov have released a poll showing the Lib Dems top in the country, with @brexitparty_uk second. They did not have the BP option on the list and we were hidden in ‘others’. Looks like an establishment attempt to suppress the truth. #FakePolling
— Nigel Farage (@Nigel_Farage) May 31, 2019
I am a member of YouGov.
The voting intentions question did not show The Brexit Party in the list. You had to pick 'Other' first.
— Another DevGuy (@AnotherDevGuy) May 30, 2019